Phillies vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 26, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Phillies vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Phillies / Rockies TV Channel: NSPA | ROTV

The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Phillies are 38-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 27-24 ATS.

Phillies vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 9-0, 1.39 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 3-3, 3.61 ERA

Phillies vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies O
Rockies U

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+15.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+14.70 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+13.10 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 36 games (+25.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+19.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 36 games (+18.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+18.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 34 games (+16.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-22 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 16.6% ROI).

  • 38-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.8 Units / 17.78% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.6% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -8.29% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 27-24 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -2.7% ROI).

  • 17-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -12.67% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.36% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -8.08% ROI

Rockies vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -200
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Rockies vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Johan Rojas (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Rockies vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -110 0.5 -115
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Brandon Marsh (PHI) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135

Rockies vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Nola (PHI) 5.5 -150 5.5 +115
Dakota Hudson (COL) 3.5 +135 3.5 -175

Opponents are hitting just .095 (12-for-126) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 96th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .224 (245 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .485 (246 PA’s) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .665 — 100th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .485 (246 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (38/224) against Cal Quantrill this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (210/1,403) against Cal Quantrill since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 66% of the time (904/1,380) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (95/173) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are 24-12 (.667) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Phillies are 22-127 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Phillies are 55-39 (.585) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 53-26 (.671) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 94-56 (.627) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 58-17 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Phillies hitters are slugging .507 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Phillies have scored first in 91% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .343 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .346 (714 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .124 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Phillies have won 67% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Phillies pitchers have won 64% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.