- The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 56-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 56-60 ATS.
Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-1, 1.99 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: River Ryan 1-0, 1.76 ERA
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+21.20 Units / 303% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+20.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 away games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 64-51 against the Run Line (+10.51 Units / 7.05% ROI).
- 56-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -3.18% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -6.89% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.62 Units / -1.29% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 56-60 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -7.45% ROI).
- 67-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 61-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.29% ROI
- 54-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -10.23% ROI
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| River Ryan (LAD) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% (50/171) against Paul Skenes on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% (107 SO in 331 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (506/734) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (330/484) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 44% of River Ryan’s pitches (12/27) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 60% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (9/14) against River Ryan this month (1 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 96th Percentile.
River Ryan has a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (16/21) this month (1 games) — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 48% (10/21) against River Ryan on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 94th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 17-28 (.378) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 98-22 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Pirates are just 12-18 (.400) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Pirates are just 141-33 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 245-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 145-26 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 93-46 (.669) after a home win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .302 (4,990 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters have 203 strikeouts in 582 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,277 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.240 (882 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.220 (2,147 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
The Dodgers are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,243 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Pirates pitchers this month (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Pirates have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (2007.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,217 of 16,213 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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