- The Pirates are -105 favorites vs the Reds
- Pirates vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Pirates / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 37-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-34 ATS.
Pirates vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 3-5, 3.76 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 0-1, 3.20 ERA
Pirates vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +150 | O 10 -115 | -105 |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | U 10 -105 | -115 |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Pirates vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+14.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+13.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+8.80 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 44 games (+19.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+18.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 66 games (+20.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+15.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+14.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-37 against the Run Line (+0.31 Units / 0.31% ROI).
- 37-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -7.61% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.28 Units / 0.33% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 43-34 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- 36-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 32-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -17.32% ROI
- 42-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 7.61% ROI
Reds vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Reds vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Spiers (CIN) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 4.5 +145 | 4.5 -190 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (107/538) against Bailey Falter this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (80/431) against Bailey Falter this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (18 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (591/865) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .293 (17-for-58) against Carson Spiers with two-strikes this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .159 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (10/38) against Carson Spiers in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (7/106 PA’s) this season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .431 (25 Total Bases / 58 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .239 — third Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Pirates are just 28-47 (.373) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Pirates are just 71-102 (.410) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Pirates are just 19-30 (.388) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-18 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 36-15 (.706) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 53-56 (.486) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .301 (4,656 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters have 410 strikeouts in 1,204 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .345 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .150 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Reds are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .173 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,918 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,415 of 15,441 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 49 of 758 batters (7%) this month (20 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 33% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 329 of 3,550 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Pirates vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
