Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Pirates are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Pirates vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Pirates / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | SNPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Pirates are 33-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 34-35 ATS.

Pirates vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 4-5, 3.27 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 2-4, 4.84 ERA

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates-1.5 -115O 10.5 -110-175
Rockies +1.5 -105U 10.5 -110+145

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+10.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+24.70 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+12.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 37-32 against the Run Line (+2.46 Units / 2.71% ROI).

  • 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -5.42% ROI
  • 33-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -2.36% ROI
  • 32-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.67 Units / -4.85% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 34-35 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -9.39% ROI).

  • 24-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -7.47% ROI
  • 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -3.01% ROI
  • 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -5.74% ROI

Rockies vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Connor Joe (PIT) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Taylor (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jacob Stallings (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Nolan Jones (COL) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Rockies vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Edward Olivares (PIT) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Connor Joe (PIT) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145

Rockies vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty Blach (COL) 3.5 +100 3.5 -135
Jared Jones (PIT) 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 71% (327/463) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 60% (148/246) against Jared Jones when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Jared Jones’ pitches (613/1,121) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Jared Jones has struck out 31% (46/150) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .361 (84-for-233) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .343 (127-for-370) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (31/252) against Ty Blach this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .350 (131-for-374) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Pirates are just 125-30 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Pirates are just 19-29 (.396) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Pirates are just 3-11 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Pirates are just 13-16 (.448) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rockies are just 76-67 (.531) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Rockies are just 43-31 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 99-60 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 43-36 (.544) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .175 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Pirates are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

The Pirates are batting just .221 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,396 of 15,142 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 13 of 229 batters (6%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rockies vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
  • JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.