- The Tigers are -160 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Pirates / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-160) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Pirates are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 24-29 ATS.
Pirates vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-4, 3.07 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 6-1, 2.25 ERA
Pirates vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Pirates | +1.5 -165 | O 7 -125 | +135 |
Tigers | -1.5 +140 | U 7 +105 | -160 |
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+10.50 Units / 175% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 29-25 against the Run Line (+1.76 Units / 2.44% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -9.51% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.02% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.22 Units / -5.43% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 24-29 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -10.44% ROI).
- 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 9.1% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -18.44% ROI
Tigers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +105 |
Jared Jones (PIT) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (33/84) against Jared Jones on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (171/482) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (296/411) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .429 (9-for-21) against Jared Jones — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (32 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .225 (231 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .091 (5-for-55) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .202 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 10-15 (.400) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Pirates are 72-18 (.800) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Pirates are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Pirates are 49-8 (.860) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are 66-25 (.725) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Tigers are just 26-143 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 88-7 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Tigers are 42-14 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .677 (9,618 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,538 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (6,901 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,354 of 14,556 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.55 (1719.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Pirates pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 287 of 3,346 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 143 of 1,975 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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