- The Pirates are -155 favorites vs the White Sox
- Pirates vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Pirates / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+120) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 46-48 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-52 ATS.
Pirates vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-7, 4.99 ERA
Pirates vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 +100 | -140 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -120 | +120 |
Pirates vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games (+15.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 50-44 against the Run Line (+2.66 Units / 2.16% ROI).
- 46-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.98% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -8.01% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.68 Units / 0.66% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 44-52 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -11.16% ROI).
- 27-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.3 Units / -33.59% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.1% ROI
White Sox vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
White Sox vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Luis Ortiz’s elevated fastball this season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .199 — 92nd Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (217/404) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 33% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Luis Ortiz’s elevated fastball this season — 8th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .201 — 91st Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 6 of 153 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (14/82) against Chris Flexen on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (6/43) against Chris Flexen on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to June 9th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (188 Total Bases / 302 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .444 — second Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Pirates are just 16-27 (.372) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Pirates are just 43-58 (.426) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The White Sox are just 23-23 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The White Sox are just 71-56 (.559) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The White Sox are just 8-25 (.242) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 416 strikeouts in 1,230 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .175 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (5,019 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (4,684 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (9,459 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .278 (2,677 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,466 of 16,075 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,012 of 9,969 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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