- The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Texas Rangers (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 70-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 63-83 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 11-8, 3.20 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -210 | O 7 -115 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -105 | -135 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 games at home (+28.30 Units / 177% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+15.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games at home (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 61 games at home (+6.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 64-82 against the Run Line (-30.4 Units / -15.82% ROI).
- 70-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.07% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.25 Units / -10.2% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 1.57% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 63-83 against the Run Line (-23.85 Units / -13.09% ROI).
- 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -8.91% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -9.05% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.03% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (36/201) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (15-for-86) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — 94th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .234 (252 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 5-208 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 7-52 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Rangers are just 11-190 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 8-37 (.178) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 60-7 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are 197-13 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 138-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 37 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (36%) against LHP this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .412 (103 PA’s) against LHP this month (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,327/17,788 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .223 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 11.25 (16.0 IP) on the road this month (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.32 (604.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 1,289 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have allowed 5.39 runs per game (383/71) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (1,296 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .277 (5,207 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 333 of 5,219 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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