- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Rangers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Rangers are 27-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 24-33 ATS.
Rangers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 1-4, 3.56 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-3, 6.26 ERA
Rangers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 +100 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -120 | +105 |
Rangers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games (+25.25 Units / 133% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+14.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 23-33 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -19.17% ROI).
- 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 20-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -26.7% ROI
- 33-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.05 Units / 18% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 24-33 against the Run Line (-17.16 Units / -22.67% ROI).
- 20-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -23.85% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 4.48% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -12.63% ROI
Marlins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Marlins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sixto Sanchez (MIA) | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +140 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (92/182) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% (55/116) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (28/127) against Jose Urena on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Urena has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (845/1,628) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sixto Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .465 (86 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (26-for-72) against Sixto Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 10% (9 SO in 88 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.0 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Houck has the longest active streak at 53.1.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rangers are just 3-167 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are 38-22 (.633) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Rangers are just 157-25 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Rangers are 40-20 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Marlins are just 115-30 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Marlins are just 27-65 (.293) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Marlins are just 38-34 (.528) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Marlins are just 51-34 (.600) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .177 with two-strikes this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .404 (494 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Rangers are batting just .093 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .121 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .205 (1,042 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .550 (662 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .404 (1,042 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .199 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers pitchers have walked 215 of 2,108 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 107 of 996 batters (11%) this month (26 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 24 of 184 batters (13%) over the past seven days (5 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.86 runs per game (170/29) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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