- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rangers are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 27-21 ATS.
Rangers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 2-1, 2.08 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 8-0, 1.41 ERA
Rangers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +145 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -175 |
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+16.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 109% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 31 games (+22.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-29 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -21.18% ROI).
- 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -11.14% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -20.25% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 11.75% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 27-21 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 12.61% ROI).
- 34-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 17.42% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -10.59% ROI
Phillies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (28/76) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 39% (287/746) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (124/212) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown his slider 47% of the time (100/212) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .171 (35-for-205) against Ranger Suarez this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .479 (219 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (87/148) against Ranger Suarez this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .220 (218 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rangers are just 9-147 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 154-24 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Rangers are just 3-162 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Phillies are 38-66 (.365) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Phillies are 98-8 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .776 (5,962 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rangers hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .341 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .347 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .771 (4,273 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Phillies hitters are slugging .506 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have 631 strikeouts in 2,524 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Rangers have allowed 1.81 runs per game (87/48) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Rangers pitchers have walked 58 of 490 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .143 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies have won 60% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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