Rangers vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 17, 2024, 3:02 PM
  • The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Tigers TV Channel: BSSW | BSDT

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Rangers are 9-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-11 ATS.

Rangers vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 2-1, 4.59 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-0, 2.08 ERA

Rangers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -175O 7.5 -115+120
Tigers -1.5 +145U 7.5 -105-145

Rangers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 40 games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 92 of their last 164 games (+26.78 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 164 games (+22.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 97 of their last 164 games (+21.68 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 142 games (+13.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 8-10 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -17.13% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -12.11% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -14.07% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.99% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 6-11 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -24.08% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.07% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -20.64% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 12.8% ROI

Tigers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Tigers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (36/75) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (36/75) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Dane Dunning has walked 9 of 75 batters (12%) this season — tied for 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Dane Dunning has walked 9 of 75 batters (12%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (50/65) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (50/65) this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .200 (65 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (10/25) against Tarik Skubal on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rangers were 24-20 (.545) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.

The Rangers are just 6-134 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Rangers are 35-16 (.686) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Tigers are just 40-51 (.440) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Tigers are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .838 (3,484 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,535 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .362 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 8 of 159 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .220 (159 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents are hitting just .201 against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.92 (531.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.