- The Astros are -155 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Astros TV Channel: FOX
The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-155) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Rays are 55-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-55 ATS.
Rays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 4-7, 4.20 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-5, 2.96 ERA
Rays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -115 | +130 |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -105 | -155 |
Rays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 away games (+19.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+14.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 66 of their last 106 games (+22.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 100 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 away games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 54-55 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -2.77% ROI).
- 55-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -5.88% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -2.33% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-55 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -0.56% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 44-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.6 Units / -19.78% ROI
- 62-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.5 Units / 11.18% ROI
Astros vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan Singleton (HOU) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Astros vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Zack Littell’s 34 breaking pitch strikeouts (38%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (39/132) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 50% of the time (245/488) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .299 (64-for-214) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .130 (6-for-46) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 25 of 181 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (73-for-418) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (57/146) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 14-9 (.609) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Rays are just 22-44 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 114-5 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rays are 37-4 (.902) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are just 0-39 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 55-35 (.611) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are 39-26 (.600) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 194 strikeouts in 598 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,352 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rays hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 851 strikeouts in 4,815 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros hitters have just 203 strikeouts in 1,164 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 530 strikeouts in 2,965 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 247 of 3,865 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.5
Astros vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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