- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: ATV+
The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 23-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 19-23 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-2, 5.41 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 3-5, 5.03 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+12.95 Units / 216% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 21-24 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -5.57% ROI).
- 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -11.62% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.02% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -10.89% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 19-23 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -15.48% ROI).
- 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -12.8% ROI
- 17-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -22.91% ROI
- 25-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 13.16% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/123) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/123) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (261/353) since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a strike rate of 72% (264/367) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .367 (11-for-30) against Chris Bassitt’s elevated fastball this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/74) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/74) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/50) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 14-33 (.298) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 9-73 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 24-17 (.585) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 18-11 (.621) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 73-127 (.365) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays hitters have 105 strikeouts in 404 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,601 strikeouts in 8,250 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .145 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Blue Jays hitters have just 575 strikeouts in 2,995 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 958 of 13,654 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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