- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rays / Mariners TV Channel: FS1 | RTNW | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rays are 65-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 55-76 ATS.
Rays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 7-5, 3.65 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 9-7, 3.34 ERA
Rays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -115 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -105 | -135 |
Rays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 48 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games at home (+26.70 Units / 222% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+18.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 78 of their last 127 games (+26.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 121 games (+16.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 56 games at home (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 65-65 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -3.18% ROI).
- 65-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -11.17% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 3.1% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 55-76 against the Run Line (-27.25 Units / -16.4% ROI).
- 66-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 57-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -11.87% ROI
- 68-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 3.61% ROI
Mariners vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Mariners vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .195 (99-for-508) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (7/31) against Ryan Pepiot with two-strikes in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (115/361) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (27-for-167) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .195 (15 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .405 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (29/176) against Bryce Miller this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .237 (253 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .169 (13-for-77) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are 120-5 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 12-111 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rays are just 25-48 (.342) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mariners are 107-19 (.849) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mariners are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mariners are 106-17 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mariners are 40-5 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rays hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .207 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .195 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .216 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,180 of 16,810 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 306 of 4,711 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 61 of 1,163 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.74 (602.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Mariners vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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