- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rays / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rays are 65-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 56-76 ATS.
Rays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs 1-2, 4.50 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-10, 3.21 ERA
Rays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 6.5 +100 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 6.5 -120 | -150 |
Rays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+15.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games at home (+25.70 Units / 198% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+17.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 79 of their last 128 games (+27.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 122 games (+17.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 away games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games at home (+17.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games at home (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 57 games at home (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 65-66 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -4.27% ROI).
- 65-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -6.52% ROI
- 58-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -11.79% ROI
- 69-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 3.76% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 56-76 against the Run Line (-25.55 Units / -15.29% ROI).
- 67-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 57-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.9 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 69-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 4.27% ROI
Mariners vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mariners vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
| Jeffrey Springs (TB) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .283 (13-for-46) against Jeffrey Springs with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .168 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Jeffrey Springs versus the bottom of the order this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Jeffrey Springs on the road this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .251 — second Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has walked 1 of 36 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 89th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .184 (234 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .236 (53 Total Bases / 225 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .230 (521 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strike rate of 77% (324/420) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are 58-4 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rays are 28-102 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rays are 12-112 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mariners are 25-13 (.658) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Mariners are 132-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 58-7 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 42-4 (.913) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .663 (2,474 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rays hitters have 202 strikeouts in 624 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .207 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Mariners are batting just .195 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .207 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .207 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,181 of 16,844 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 797 of 10,914 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (611.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Mariners pitchers have walked 61 of 1,172 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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