- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rays / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Rays are 66-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 56-77 ATS.
Rays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-0, 2.62 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 10-12, 3.67 ERA
Rays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 7 -120 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7 +100 | -160 |
Rays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+19.90 Units / 398% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games at home (+25.70 Units / 198% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+18.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 80 of their last 129 games (+28.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 123 games (+16.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 away games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games at home (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games at home (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games at home (+6.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 58 games at home (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 66-66 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -3.67% ROI).
- 66-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 58-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -12.46% ROI
- 70-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 4.42% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 56-77 against the Run Line (-26.55 Units / -15.79% ROI).
- 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -8.68% ROI
- 57-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -19 Units / -13.15% ROI
- 70-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 4.92% ROI
Mariners vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 2.5 +110 | 2.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 78.1.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .597 (803 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .713 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 68% (863/1,273) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has struck out 41% (9/22) of left-handed batters he faced this month (6 games) — 3rd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo allowed a batting average of just .199 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 89th Percentile and .278 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a just .321 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 88th Percentile and .502 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .250 (336 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 88th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .256 (539 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 86th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are 121-5 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 58-4 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 19-107 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rays are 25-17 (.595) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
keys to the game – home
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (620.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .252 (1,181 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Mariners vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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