- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 28-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 30-25 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-2, 3.13 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 1-0, 1.75 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+12.75 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 22 games at home (+29.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+15.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+14.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 55 games (+22.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 24-34 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -14.5% ROI).
- 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -14.79% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -4.56% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.92% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 30-25 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 14.93% ROI).
- 36-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 8.85% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -16.46% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Kyle Bradish (BAL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (14 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .386 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Taj Bradley — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (16/54) against Taj Bradley this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Taj Bradley when going through the lineup the first time in a game — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .210 — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents were hitless in 20 AB’s against Kyle Bradish — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .212 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.3 MPH this season (45 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (64 Total Bases / 274 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (9/45) against Kyle Bradish this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 34-25 (.576) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 39-26 (.600) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Rays are 56-36 (.609) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 45-24 (.652) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Orioles are 47-3 (.940) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .353 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .483 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .816 (601 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Orioles hitters have 71 extra-base hits out of 180 total hits (39%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Orioles are 47-22 (.681) against the run line (30.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 214 of 3,415 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 170 of 2,226 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.83 (933.2 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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