- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rays are 71-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 71-73 ATS.
Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 6-10, 4.39 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 12-6, 2.93 ERA
Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -115 | +150 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -105 | -185 |
Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+23.10 Units / 231% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.70 Units / 196% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 85 of their last 141 games (+24.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 77 of their last 135 games (+14.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+14.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games at home (+11.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 62 games at home (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 74-70 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -1.57% ROI).
- 71-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.35 Units / -9.73% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 1.82% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 71-73 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.73% ROI).
- 86-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -7.31% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.99% ROI
Phillies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Carlson (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kody Clemens (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has struck out 31% (149/483) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .510 (173 Total Bases / 339 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .413 — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 12nd — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 10.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .518 (85 Total Bases / 164 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .406 — sixth Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (236/394) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (595/1,133) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (199/368) against Ranger Suarez this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
25 of Ranger Suarez’s 101 breaking pitch strikeouts (25%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rays are 29-108 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rays are 126-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Rays are 20-13 (.606) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Phillies are 48-24 (.667) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Phillies are 74-12 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 1,018 strikeouts in 4,151 PA’s (24%) against RHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 207 strikeouts in 637 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,711 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .798 (1,711 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,329 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .790 (3,580 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,232 of 17,328 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Phillies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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