- The Phillies are -225 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rays are 71-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 72-73 ATS.
Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 2-3, 3.28 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 14-6, 2.61 ERA
Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -120 | +180 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 +100 | -225 |
Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+22.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 85 of their last 142 games (+23.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 77 of their last 136 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 away games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games at home (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 74-71 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -2.27% ROI).
- 71-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.06% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 72-73 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.07% ROI).
- 87-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -2.73% ROI
Phillies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kody Clemens (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kody Clemens (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Shane Baz in his last start — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Shane Baz has walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 41% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 92nd Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (48-for-299) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .202 (317 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (33/208) against Zack Wheeler this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (34-for-226) against Zack Wheeler versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rays are 126-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 12-119 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are just 20-38 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 82-54 (.603) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Phillies are 32-16 (.667) after a home win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Phillies are 27-24 (.529) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 207 strikeouts in 651 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,716 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Phillies are batting .276 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,716 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,334 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,235 of 17,369 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 857 of 11,480 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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