- The Phillies are -200 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rays are 71-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 71-72 ATS.
Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Cole Sulser 0-0, 4.36 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-9, 3.42 ERA
Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -120 | +165 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 8 +100 | -200 |
Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.10 Units / 268% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+16.70 Units / 239% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 140 games (+23.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+12.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 away games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games at home (+10.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 73-70 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -2.09% ROI).
- 71-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -9.12% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.2% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 71-72 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.12% ROI).
- 85-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -2.64% ROI
Phillies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dylan Carlson (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Sulser (NYM) | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +150 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (8/47) against Cole Sulser over the last 14 days — 12th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — 11th Percentile.
Cole Sulser has a strikeout rate of just 10% (2 SO in 19 PAs) over the last 14 days — tied for 8th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Cole Sulser’s pitches (47/85) over the last 14 days — 9th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 49% — 91st Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 71% of Cole Sulser’s pitches (24/34) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 10th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — 90th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (123/195) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (291/493) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (555/1,145) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (217/424) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rays are 29-107 (.213) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rays are 12-117 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 82-53 (.607) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Rays are 126-5 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Phillies are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Phillies are 73-12 (.859) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .656 (4,138 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,688 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,557 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .790 (3,557 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,306 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 382 of 5,327 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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