- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
- Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Pirates TV Channel: BSUN | SNPT
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-105) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rays are 37-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 40-35 ATS.
Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 3-4, 4.12 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 4-6, 3.76 ERA
Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 73 games (+21.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+6.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+18.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 34-42 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -10.57% ROI).
- 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -11.24% ROI
- 40-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 2.16% ROI
- 35-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -10.67% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 40-35 against the Run Line (+2.31 Units / 2.36% ROI).
- 36-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -5.06% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.72 Units / -2.1% ROI
Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jack Suwinski (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 5 of 310 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (33-for-73) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (52 Total Bases / 73 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .412 — first Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 381 batters (3%) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has allowed an OPS of just .475 (64 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% (422/842) against Jared Jones in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 59% (153/259) against Jared Jones when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 70% (352/503) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 11-88 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are just 17-38 (.309) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 29-51 (.362) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Pirates are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 16-27 (.372) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Pirates are just 71-101 (.413) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Pirates are just 28-47 (.373) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 180 strikeouts in 553 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 176 strikeouts in 694 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 409 strikeouts in 1,202 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 51 strikeouts in 125 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Pirates are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Pirates hitters have 1,172 strikeouts in 4,649 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,037 of 14,854 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 224 of 3,576 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,408 of 15,366 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Pirates have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Pirates vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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