- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rays are 20-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-20 ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 2-4, 3.73 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-1, 1.75 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +160 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+14.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-24 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -15.04% ROI).
- 20-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -16.34% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 7.1% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -16.28% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-20 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -6.86% ROI).
- 21-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.11% ROI
- 14-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -27.44% ROI
- 24-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 19.21% ROI
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Harold Ramirez (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vaughn Grissom (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin allowed a batting average of .333 vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has not walked any of the 72 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 351 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a .667 SLG vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .179 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (16/60) against Kutter Crawford this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (3-for-21) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (13/41) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of just .473 (99 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .693 — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 14-32 (.304) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are just 7-18 (.280) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 3-156 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 1-90 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 21-33 (.389) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Rays are batting .269 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 128 strikeouts in 431 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .273 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 101 of 1,463 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 18 of 358 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (357.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
The Red Sox have allowed 2.71 runs per game (57/21) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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