- The Twins are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN | ESPN+
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-135) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rays are 35-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 33-41 ATS.
Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-5, 4.27 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-1, 3.32 ERA
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -135 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+14.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.15 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+14.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 71 games (+23.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 54 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 32-42 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -13.21% ROI).
- 35-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -8.38% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-41 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 41-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.63% ROI
- 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.56% ROI
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (33/83) against Zack Littell on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 5 of 170 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 2 of 124 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .309 (50-for-162) against Zack Littell this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .440 (11 GB hits out of 25 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 20 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 103 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of 30% (8 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 7th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 88th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are just 16-38 (.296) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are just 9-24 (.273) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 7-32 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Rays are 29-131 (.181) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are just 6-12 (.333) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Twins are 50-16 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Twins are 11-6 (.647) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Twins are 26-15 (.634) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .260 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays hitters have 175 strikeouts in 687 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 180 strikeouts in 550 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Twins are batting .286 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters have drawn 42 walks in 696 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .953 (357 PA’s) at home this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 36 of 627 batters (6%) this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,029 of 14,777 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 638 of 8,775 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,106 of 14,817 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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