Rays vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 27, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Rays vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rays / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | ESPN+ | BSFL

The Tampa Bay Rays (-225) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+185) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Rays are 13-14 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 10-16 ATS.

Rays vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-2, 3.91 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 0-1, 7.28 ERA

Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 -135O 8.5 -115-225
White Sox +1.5 +110U 8.5 -105+185

Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 72.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games (+15.10 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-17 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -21.55% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -17.11% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 13.03% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -22.78% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 10-16 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -28.66% ROI).

  • 4-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -65.8% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -5.39% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -4.22% ROI

White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jose Siri (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Tommy Pham (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tommy Pham (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Richard Palacios (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

White Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of 33% (15 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (95/179) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 26% (15/58) against Aaron Civale this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jonathan Cannon has limited playing time.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Rays are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Rays are just 12-30 (.286) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The White Sox are just 55-9 (.859) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox are just 19-45 (.297) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The White Sox are just 51-40 (.560) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The White Sox are just 11-22 (.333) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

Rays hitters have 26 strikeouts in 68 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rays hitters have 4 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (50%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Rays are batting .265 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

31% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The White Sox are batting just .148 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (3,644 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 7% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,362 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 913 of 12,968 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 105 of 994 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 14% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.