- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-9 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 97% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 81% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-13 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -18.63% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -18.83% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 11-9 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 12.13% ROI).
- 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 24.42% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -28.86% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 20% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/33) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/33) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Nestor Cortes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (20/67) against Nestor Cortes this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (65/243) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (3/23) against Nestor Cortes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 45-23 (.662) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Rays are just 5-14 (.263) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are just 12-28 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 116-29 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 52-8 (.867) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Yankees are 103-65 (.613) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Rays are hitless in 5 AB’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Rays hitters have drawn 36 walks in 553 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 42% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 58 walks in 421 PA’s (14%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 899 of 12,744 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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