- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 49-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-47 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-1, 5.23 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-4, 3.53 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -110 | +130 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -110 | -155 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 95 games (+24.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 89 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+11.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.64 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 47-51 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -5.99% ROI).
- 49-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -7.46% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -7.05% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.2% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-47 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 10.12% ROI).
- 59-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -9.98% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (8/32) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Shane Baz this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .248 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Shane Baz when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .261 — fifth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (66/239 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (1,067/1,778) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (53/314) against Marcus Stroman this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 25 of 208 left-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 20-42 (.323) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are 30-55 (.353) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Rays are 50-4 (.926) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rays are 110-27 (.803) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 57-61 (.483) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 140-39 (.782) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays are batting .269 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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