- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Rays are 50-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-48 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-6, 4.28 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-7, 4.45 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 61 of their last 96 games (+23.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+10.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.49 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-51 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.16% ROI).
- 50-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -6.38% ROI
- 47-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.06% ROI
- 49-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.11% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-48 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 9.2% ROI).
- 59-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -10.79% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Zack Littell’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (35/122) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .290 (120-for-414) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (52/174) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .611 (11-for-18) against Carlos Rodon in late innings this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has an ERA of 9.69 (26.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.75 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .545 (91 Total Bases / 167 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .599 (164 Total Bases / 274 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 11-98 (.101) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are just 13-28 (.317) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rays are 23-12 (.657) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 108-5 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 61-19 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Yankees are 30-6 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Rays hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 116 walks in 1,005 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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