- The Orioles are -225 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 63-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-56 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 4-4, 4.06 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 12-4, 2.71 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -190 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+24.30 Units / 106% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+14.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+30.10 Units / 215% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+21.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+22.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 56 away games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 away games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 120 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 113 games (+18.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 75 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 107 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 36% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 55-65 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -11.49% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.54% ROI
- 63-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 5.52% ROI
- 51-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -13.49% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-56 against the Run Line (+18.75 Units / 13.26% ROI).
- 72-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 1.94% ROI
- 67-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.25 Units / 14.56% ROI
- 44-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.15 Units / -22.5% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (204/358) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has an average fastball velocity of just 89.2 MPH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (40/250) against Cooper Criswell this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (68/350) against Cooper Criswell on non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 33 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 70% of the time (135/193) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (113/195) against Corbin Burnes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (299/455) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 5-187 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 34-25 (.576) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Red Sox are 42-34 (.553) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Red Sox are just 3-121 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 55-34 (.618) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Orioles are 33-40 (.452) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Orioles are 27-18 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 388 strikeouts in 1,392 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,517 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .335 (8,402 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Red Sox are batting .256 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 171 of 2,517 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Red Sox vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
