- The Red Sox are +100 favorites vs the Rays
- Red Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rays TV Channel: NESN | BSUN
The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 75-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 78-73 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-10, 3.25 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 8-6, 3.76 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -110 | +100 |
| Rays | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -110 | -120 |
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 31 games (+15.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.45 Units / 209% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 73 away games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+24.80 Units / 155% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 88 of their last 148 games (+23.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+16.32 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+14.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 80 of their last 142 games (+12.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 70-81 against the Run Line (-20.15 Units / -10.15% ROI).
- 75-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 75-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.24% ROI
- 68-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -8.41% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 78-73 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -2% ROI).
- 74-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.01 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.9 Units / -11.42% ROI
- 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 3.36% ROI
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Ryan Pepiot (: Strikeouts | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (276/497) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (158/270) against Tanner Houck this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .256 (60 Total Bases / 234 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has thrown off-speed pitches 76% of the time (1,049/1,390) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .216 (11-for-51) against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .210 (49-for-233) against Ryan Pepiot when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 97th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of .960 (34 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .490 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .198 (62-for-313) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 95th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 31-133 (.189) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Red Sox are just 37-38 (.493) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Red Sox are just 19-188 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Red Sox are just 56-196 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 129-5 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 12-122 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are 35-63 (.357) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Rays are 75-38 (.664) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 492 strikeouts in 1,749 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox hitters have 860 strikeouts in 3,327 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .389 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .370 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters have 210 strikeouts in 666 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .659 (4,327 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 429 of 5,739 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Red Sox have won 33% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 864 of 11,636 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Red Sox vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
