- The Red Sox are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Red Sox vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Rockies TV Channel: NESN | ROTV | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox () visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Red Sox are 53-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 51-50 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 3-4, 4.56 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 3-5, 5.47 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | O | ||
| Rockies | U |
Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 47 away games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 away games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 99 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 46-53 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -11.12% ROI).
- 53-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -3.9% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -4.03% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 51-50 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -7.72% ROI).
- 37-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -7.39% ROI
Rockies vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jamie Westbrook (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rockies vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (59/80) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has a strikeout rate of just 3% (1 SO in 29 PAs) this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has a strikeout rate of just 18% (24 SO in 130 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (167/291) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .345 (142-for-412) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .357 (153-for-428) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .358 (192-for-536) against Ty Blach since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .330 (185-for-561) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Red Sox are 106-7 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Red Sox are 47-10 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 49-36 (.576) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rockies are just 81-13 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 26-25 (.510) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 333 strikeouts in 1,146 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .260 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .544 against RHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (443.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 159 of 2,328 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 54 of 893 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
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