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The Boston Red Sox () visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Red Sox are 54-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 51-51 ATS.
Red Sox vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-6, 3.88 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 6-7, 4.18 ERA
Red Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Red Sox | O | ||
Rockies | U |
Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 26 games (+21.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 away games (+14.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games (+30.00 Units / 143% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+13.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games at home (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 100 games (+6.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 66 games (+8.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 47-53 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -10.27% ROI).
- 54-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 47-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 48-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.09% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 51-51 against the Run Line (-10.7 Units / -8.53% ROI).
- 37-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -6.42% ROI
Rockies vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ty Blach (COL) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has struck out 47% (7/15) of left-handed batters he faced over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OPS of just .106 (48 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .461 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 39% (28 SO in 72 PAs) this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OPS of just .106 (48 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 33% (83 SO in 249 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 58% (548/936) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (37/186) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 17% (42/247) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 14th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Red Sox are 47-10 (.825) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Red Sox are 29-21 (.580) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Red Sox are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Red Sox are just 5-178 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rockies are just 81-13 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 68-30 (.694) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 67-41 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Rockies are just 108-65 (.624) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 334 strikeouts in 1,161 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 1,072 strikeouts in 4,286 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have been successful in just 69% of their sacrifice bunt attempts since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 80%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 265 of 3,761 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 55 of 902 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 160 of 2,337 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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