Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

min read
Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Red Sox are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | BSDT

The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Red Sox are 69-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 72-63 ATS.

Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-9, 3.24 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 15-4, 2.58 ERA

Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Red Sox-1.5 +135O 9 -125-120
Tigers +1.5 -165U 9 +105+100

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 37 games (+29.30 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 62 away games (+15.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 away games (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 away games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 134 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 48 games (+20.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 61-73 against the Run Line (-20.15 Units / -11.39% ROI).

  • 69-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.75% ROI
  • 69-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 3.71% ROI
  • 58-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.3 Units / -11.85% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 72-63 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 1.68% ROI).

  • 68-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • 67-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 60-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -9.45% ROI

Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Danny Jansen (BOS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tanner Houck (BOS) 4.5 -135 4.5 +100

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (149/254) against Tanner Houck this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .293 (92 Total Bases / 314 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .411 — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .247 (54 Total Bases / 219 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (262/470) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .600 (9 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .254 — 0 Percentile.

Beau Brieske has not allowed a HR in any of his last 11 starts dating back to July 2nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Beau Brieske has located his pitches away 64% of the time (451/707) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

35% of Beau Brieske’s strikeouts are looking this season — 10th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 5-194 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are just 35-46 (.432) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Red Sox are just 34-35 (.493) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.

The Red Sox are 38-27 (.585) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are 31-4 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Tigers are 11-49 (.183) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Tigers are 38-23 (.623) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

team hitters – away

The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,984 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (12,984 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 834 of 11,060 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 358 of 4,987 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
  • Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.