- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Tigers
- Red Sox vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Tigers TV Channel: NESN | BSDT | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (-125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Red Sox are 70-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 72-65 ATS.
Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 5-4, 4.41 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Ty Madden 0-0, 1.80 ERA
Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -110 | -125 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 -110 | +105 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 39 games (+33.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 away games (+18.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+18.90 Units / 126% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 64 away games (+15.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 away games (+14.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 away games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 136 games (+6.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 52 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 63-73 against the Run Line (-17.75 Units / -9.88% ROI).
- 70-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.72% ROI
- 70-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 3.59% ROI
- 59-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -11.74% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 72-65 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.24% ROI).
- 69-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 0.65% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -9.37% ROI
Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ty Madden has limited playing time.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are 56-15 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Red Sox are just 5-195 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 14-53 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Red Sox are just 35-35 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are 15-48 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Tigers are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 38-23 (.623) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Tigers are 57-23 (.712) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .394 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .256 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Red Sox hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,560 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (13,046 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (13,046 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (17,028 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 377 of 5,189 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 340 of 4,093 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 360 of 5,058 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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