- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: NESN | YES | MLBN
The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-71 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 13-7, 4.74 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 6-4, 3.36 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+19.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 68-79 against the Run Line (-19.75 Units / -10.2% ROI).
- 74-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 74-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 66-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.75 Units / -9.2% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-71 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 4.53% ROI).
- 85-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.65 Units / -14.04% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has walked 5 of 26 batters (19%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Brayan Bello has walked 23 of 243 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 15th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .274 (58-for-212) against Brayan Bello when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 13th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (104/568) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .570 (709 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .314 (208 Total Bases / 662 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .256 (708 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .248 (214 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 99th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 31-131 (.191) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Red Sox are just 5-201 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 15-61 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Red Sox are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are just 18-31 (.367) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 6-3 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 482 strikeouts in 1,700 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .394 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 202 walks in 1,664 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 88 walks in 720 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,341 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .334 (4,035 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 418 of 5,627 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have 237 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Yankees pitchers are throwing 4.04 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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