- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Reds are 61-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 60-65 ATS.
Reds vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 4-4, 4.55 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 11-9, 3.86 ERA
Reds vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 38 games (+35.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.70 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 19 of his last 50 games (+52.40 Units / 105% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leonardo Jimenez has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+13.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 109 games (+8.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 110 games (+7.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 55 games (+20.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 124 games (+6.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 70-55 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- 61-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -3.66% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.77% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 60-65 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 58-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -10.28% ROI
- 67-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.7% ROI
- 55-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -13.79% ROI
Blue Jays vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Carson Spiers (CIN) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Spiers has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (20 Total Bases / 24 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .432 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .458 (11-for-24) against Carson Spiers when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Carson Spiers has a strikeout rate of just 12% (6 SO in 49 PAs) in late innings this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (14/65) against Carson Spiers in late innings this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .338 (27-for-80) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .204 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 16% (16 SO in 100 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (95/494) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 23% of the time (259/1,100) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Reds are just 31-35 (.470) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 62-57 (.521) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Reds are 13-23 (.361) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Blue Jays are just 11-59 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are just 15-32 (.319) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,476 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .255 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,891 strikeouts in 9,898 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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