- The Brewers are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Reds / Brewers TV Channel: BSOH | BSWI
The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Reds are 56-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 61-54 ATS.
Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-5, 3.43 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-5, 3.04 ERA
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | O 8 +100 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -120 | -150 |
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+30.10 Units / 104% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+23.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+18.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 98 games (+9.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 101 games (+6.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 111 games (+17.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 115 games (+10.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 115 games (+9.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 64-52 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 3.65% ROI).
- 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 54-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 57-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -2.12% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 61-54 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 2.87% ROI).
- 66-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 7.33% ROI
- 64-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.25 Units / 12.15% ROI
- 45-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.7 Units / -20.16% ROI
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (248/479) this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 10 of 345 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 10 of 345 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has walked 2 of 93 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .471 (71 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .734 — 98th Percentile.
60% of Tobias Myers’ fastball strikeouts are located away this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 95th Percentile.
30% of Tobias Myers’ strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (111/260) with runners in scoring position this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 94th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Reds are just 31-34 (.477) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 40-22 (.645) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are just 25-24 (.510) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Brewers are 34-72 (.321) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 29-22 (.569) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Brewers are 48-117 (.291) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 40-27 (.597) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .401 (302 PA’s) this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Brewers hitters have drawn 118 walks in 1,132 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Brewers are batting just .240 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,585 of 16,875 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (2003.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.99 runs per game (1,106/277) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (793.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Brewers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
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