- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Reds are 19-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 24-22 ATS.
Reds vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-3, 4.20 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 5-0, 2.61 ERA
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -110 | +155 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -110 | -190 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+15.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 away games (+11.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 games at home (+18.80 Units / 85% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+14.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+8.70 Units / 73% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 25-19 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 8.18% ROI).
- 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -4.47% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 24-22 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -1.11% ROI).
- 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -3.18% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -10.81% ROI
Dodgers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Dodgers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (CIN) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| James Paxton (LAD) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (97/383) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Frankie Montas’ fastballs (167/283) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (35/47) over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (15/60) against Frankie Montas this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against James Paxton on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 99th Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 22 of 132 right-handed batters (17%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has a strike rate of just 53% (72/137) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 12 of 63 batters (19%) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 32-43 (.427) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 46-50 (.479) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 89-40 (.690) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Dodgers are 216-37 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .130 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .439 (860 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .655 (1,059 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,059 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (10,236 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (5,727 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 26 double plays in 426 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .327 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 23 of 453 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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