- The Dodgers are -210 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSOH | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+170) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Reds are 19-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 25-22 ATS.
Reds vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-2, 4.16 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 0-1, 7.37 ERA
Reds vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | +170 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | -210 |
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games at home (+17.80 Units / 77% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+15.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 25-20 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 6.03% ROI).
- 19-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -3.01% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -6.61% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 25-22 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.73% ROI).
- 30-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 4.41% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -12.68% ROI
Dodgers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Ford (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (12/85) against Graham Ashcraft with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .315 (28-for-89) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — sixth Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (109/193) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 30th, 2022 — Kyle Hendricks has the longest active streak at 7.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 32-43 (.427) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 217-37 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 57-22 (.722) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Dodgers are 239-107 (.691) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) against the run line (22.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Reds are batting just .110 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,067 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (5,764 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .798 (956 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (10,273 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 22 of 446 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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