Baseball
Cincinnati RedsSan Francisco Giants

Reds vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 10

min read
FILE -San Francisco Giants third baseman J.D. Davis throws to first to get Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez on a ground out during the first inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. Utilityman J.D. Davis went to a hearing Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 asking for a raise from $4.21 million to $6.9 million rather than the San Francisco Giants' $6.55 million offer.(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo, File)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 10, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Reds
  • Reds vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Reds / Giants TV Channel: BSOH | NSBA

The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-160) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Reds are 16-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 18-21 ATS.

Reds vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-4, 3.32 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-3, 3.50 ERA

Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -160O 7.5 -120+135
Giants -1.5 +135U 7.5 +100-160

Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 28 games (+14.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+12.10 Units / 303% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 away games (+23.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 19-18 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.93% ROI).

  • 16-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -16.63% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -2.8% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -7.3% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 18-21 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -9.34% ROI).

  • 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -19.73% ROI
  • 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -6.24% ROI
  • 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -2.42% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (3/21) against Andrew Abbott on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (16/65) against Andrew Abbott on low breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (36/109) against Andrew Abbott this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (27/192) against Andrew Abbott in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (384/830) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,074/2,765) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (449/992) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (1,623/3,953) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Reds are just 44-49 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.

The Reds are just 56-42 (.571) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Giants are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Giants are just 38-66 (.365) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.

The Giants are just 30-50 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Reds are batting just .180 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.

The Reds are batting just .211 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Reds are batting just .123 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

The Reds are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.

Giants hitters are slugging just .238 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .305 (3,492 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .232 (4,057 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .340 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 962 of 13,563 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 106 of 1,776 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
  • Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
  • Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
  • Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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