- The Reds are -140 favorites vs the Giants
- Reds vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Giants TV Channel: FOX
The Cincinnati Reds (-135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+115) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Reds are 17-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 18-22 ATS.
Reds vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-1, 2.86 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-1, 10.40 ERA
Reds vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -120 | -135 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 8 +100 | +115 |
Reds vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Reds vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+13.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 games (+17.00 Units / 142% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 65 away games (+23.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 20-18 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.1% ROI).
- 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -13.65% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -5.34% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -4.7% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 18-22 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -11.07% ROI).
- 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -22.05% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -8.61% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.11% ROI
Giants vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Fraley (CIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Mason Black (SF) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (191/622) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (75/216) against Nick Lodolo this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 32% (37 SO in 115 PAs) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (335/622) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black has limited playing time.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Reds are just 23-27 (.460) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 44-19 (.698) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Reds are just 32-43 (.427) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are just 22-28 (.440) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Giants are just 30-50 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Giants are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Giants vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
Bet now on Reds vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
