- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Reds / Mariners TV Channel: BSOH | RTNW | MLBN
The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Reds are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 7-11 ATS.
Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-1, 2.60 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 2-1, 1.97 ERA
Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -12.07% ROI).
- 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 33.42% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -44.47% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -20.63% ROI).
- 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -30.56% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 21.86% ROI
Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (27/121) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 15% (3 SO in 20 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — sixth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP– 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season — tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– seventh Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Bryce Miller this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (68/215) against Bryce Miller since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds are just 53-40 (.570) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds were just 24-12 (.667) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Reds are just 41-19 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 41-47 (.466) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 145-6 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 86-13 (.869) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 139-12 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mariners are 45-6 (.882) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (55%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 61 extra-base hits out of 137 total hits (45%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds hitters have an OPS of 1.219 (36 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Reds hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 90 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .300 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .348 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 909 of 12,655 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 105 of 1,616 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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