- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Reds
- Reds vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Reds / Yankees TV Channel: AMZP | BSOH
The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Reds are 40-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-39 ATS.
Reds vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 7-6, 3.43 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-5, 4.22 ERA
Reds vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -185 |
Reds vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+10.99 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 48-37 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 6.24% ROI).
- 40-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -4.56% ROI
- 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -13.97% ROI
- 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 4.28% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 48-39 against the Run Line (+14.15 Units / 13.7% ROI).
- 54-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.71% ROI
- 46-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 39-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -12.11% ROI
Yankees vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.D. Davis (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D. Davis (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Yankees vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 7 of 30 right-handed batters (23%) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 7 of 30 right-handed batters (23%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 6 of 23 batters (26%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (18/104) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .708 (68 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .739 (34 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .361 (30-for-83) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (150 Total Bases / 250 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 26-30 (.464) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Reds are just 54-56 (.491) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Yankees are 10-13 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Yankees are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Reds are batting just .175 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Reds hitters have 1,659 strikeouts in 6,677 PA’s (25%) against RHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds hitters have 554 strikeouts in 2,162 PA’s (26%) against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,131 of their 9,284 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging .694 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Yankees hitters have drawn 100 walks in 886 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 334 of 3,620 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 6.94 (105.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Yankees vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
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