- The Braves are -350 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+280) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-350) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rockies are 51-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-74 ATS.
Rockies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 4-6, 5.55 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 15-3, 2.61 ERA
Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +280 |
| Braves | -2.5 +110 | U 7.5 -110 | -350 |
Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+23.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 34 games (+23.20 Units / 68% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 102 games (+4.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 102 games (+2.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 123 games (+32.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 68-70 against the Run Line (-14.85 Units / -8.8% ROI).
- 51-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 68-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -3.66% ROI
- 67-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -5.19% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 63-74 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -8.56% ROI).
- 74-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -9.22% ROI
- 51-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.05 Units / -24.79% ROI
- 81-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.65 Units / 16.2% ROI
Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 8.5 -135 | 8.5 +100 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (132 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .424 (28-for-66) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 95 of Kyle Freeland’s 490 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
29 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .252 (52 Total Bases / 206 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .221 (74 Total Bases / 335 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (47 SO in 105 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 12-33 (.261) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Rockies are just 51-38 (.573) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 94-14 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 28-27 (.509) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves are 37-82 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 38-36 (.514) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Braves are 77-139 (.356) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.0.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (830/11,376) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Braves hitters are slugging .461 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters are slugging .454 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Rockies vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
