- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rockies are 51-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 64-74 ATS.
Rockies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Bradley Blalock 1-1, 4.99 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 7-7, 4.33 ERA
Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +240 |
| Braves | -2.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -300 |
Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 67.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+19.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+13.05 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 35 games (+22.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+16.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 103 games (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 103 games (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 79 of their last 124 games (+33.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 68-71 against the Run Line (-15.85 Units / -9.34% ROI).
- 51-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.99% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -4.5% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 64-74 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 75-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 51-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -38.1 Units / -25.32% ROI
- 82-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.65 Units / 16.73% ROI
Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Bradley Blalock (COL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bradley Blalock has limited playing time.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 52% of the time (263/504) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has an average spin rate of 3080.6 RPM on curveballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 2531.0 — 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of 29% (38 SO in 131 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 87th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 7 of 131 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 51-38 (.573) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 12-34 (.255) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Rockies are just 43-8 (.827) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Rockies are just 77-45 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are 37-82 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Braves are 56-30 (.651) after a home win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Braves are 143-83 (.633) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves scored in at least three different innings in 67% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Braves scored first in 73% of their road games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Braves scored three or more runs in an inning 125 times (9%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 60% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Rockies have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 60% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers won 49% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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