Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Cardinals are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Cardinals TV Channel: ROTV | BSMW | ESPN+

The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Rockies are 22-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 29-32 ATS.

Rockies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-3, 3.10 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-3, 3.20 ERA

Rockies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -130O 7.5 -105+165
Cardinals -1.5 +110U 7.5 -115-200

Rockies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.60 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 16 games (+21.15 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.35 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+12.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+11.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 32-30 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -4.8% ROI).

  • 22-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -5.72% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -4.32% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 29-32 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -8.64% ROI).

  • 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -10.67% ROI
  • 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -13.95% ROI
  • 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 5.7% ROI

Cardinals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Cardinals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance Lynn (STL) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Austin Gomber (COL) 4.5 +135 4.5 -175

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .622 (295 Total Bases / 474 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (190 Total Bases / 304 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .446 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (31/172) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .176 (6-for-34) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance Lynn has located his fastball away 55% of the time (342/618) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of .352 (395 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — sixth Percentile.

Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 63% of the time (196/312) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .839 (396 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — sixth Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies are just 58-27 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Rockies are just 43-30 (.589) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 75-65 (.536) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Rockies are just 20-19 (.513) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are 29-12 (.707) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 18-29 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Cardinals are just 6-105 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Cardinals are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.

The Rockies are just 58-27 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Rockies have won just 55% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Cardinals are just 36-57 (.375) against the run line (-30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (2,226 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.