- The Mets are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+170) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-210) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Rockies are 33-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 45-48 ATS.
Rockies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-8, 5.28 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-2, 4.19 ERA
Rockies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -120 | +170 |
| Mets | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 +100 | -210 |
Rockies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+15.75 Units / 72% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 59 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 84 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 46-49 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -11.41% ROI).
- 33-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -9.93% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.36% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -7.66% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 45-48 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -4.87% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 3.76% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -12.25% ROI
Mets vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Mets vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott (NYM) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.023 (112 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .697 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .301 (59-for-196) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — third Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .474 (93 Total Bases / 196 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — third Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has thrown elevated sliders35% of the time (161/464) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Christian Scott when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Christian Scott has a strikeout rate of just 23% (5 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Christian Scott when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .212 — 100th Percentile.
Christian Scott has a strikeout rate of just 12% (5 SO in 43 PAs) this month (2 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 23-24 (.489) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 66-30 (.688) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Rockies are just 46-35 (.568) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Mets are 7-29 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Mets are just 33-11 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .441 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Mets are batting .267 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters are slugging .449 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mets hitters are slugging .629 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 358 of 3,577 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 949 of 9,661 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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