- The Padres are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Padres TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-200) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Rockies are 41-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 58-54 ATS.
Rockies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 7-7, 4.53 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 6-9, 3.90 ERA
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -115 | +165 |
| Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -105 | -200 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 43 games (+34.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jake Cave has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 41 games (+35.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+14.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 76 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 50% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 80 games (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 57-55 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -7.3% ROI).
- 41-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -6.29% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 58-54 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 4.29% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.04% ROI
- 59-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 52-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -10.88% ROI
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Sam Hilliard (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron (SD) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 59% (622/1,056) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (37 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .301 (269 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fifth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 19% (38 SO in 198 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (101/438) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (20/73) against Matt Waldron on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (17/80) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 166 of Matt Waldron’s 748 off-speed pitches out of the zone (22%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 70-30 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 84-13 (.866) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 5-174 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are just 8-107 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Padres are 18-13 (.581) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Padres are just 2-113 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies hitters have 318 strikeouts in 1,160 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,885 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 221 strikeouts in 1,273 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Padres hitters have just 754 strikeouts in 4,196 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1219.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (6,610 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
