Rockies vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 15, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Phillies are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+220) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-275) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rockies are 4-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-9 ATS.

Rockies vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 0-2, 7.37 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 2-1, 4.70 ERA

Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +110O 8.5 -105+220
Phillies -1.5 -145U 8.5 -115-275

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -15.14% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -30.56% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 14.37% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -22.7% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 6-9 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -16.94% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -7.41% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -37.01% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 28% ROI

Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +180 0.5 -225
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Marsh (PHI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160

Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill (COL) 3.5 -165 3.5 +130
Aaron Nola (PHI) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (8/70) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.199 (35 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .664 — second Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of .520 (13 Total Bases / 25 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 11% (5/44) against Aaron Nola this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (9/61) against Aaron Nola this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Rockies are just 17-16 (.515) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies were just 41-20 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Phillies are 20-21 (.488) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Phillies are 28-122 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .132.

The Phillies are 19-124 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Phillies are 7-72 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Phillies hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 57 total hits (just 19%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Phillies are batting .269 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .243 (74 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.

Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .449.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .091 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.