- The Reds are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-185) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 32-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 51-40 ATS.
Rockies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 6-6, 3.80 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 8-3, 3.00 ERA
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -110 | +150 |
| Reds | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -110 | -185 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 away games (+24.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 44-47 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -11.73% ROI).
- 32-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -8.88% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -3.52% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 51-40 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 5.72% ROI).
- 43-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -4.05% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.75 Units / -16.66% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 6.86% ROI
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rece Hinds (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .225 (46-for-204) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 32% (74 SO in 229 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .336 (44-for-131) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 29% (132 SO in 448 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .441 (56-for-127) against Nick Lodolo when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (508/1,122) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (150/345) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .229 (8-for-35) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 93rd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 104-63 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 109-36 (.752) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Rockies are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Rockies are just 151-197 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are 29-12 (.707) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Reds are just 16-25 (.390) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Reds are just 3-35 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Reds are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Reds are batting just .139 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Reds hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Reds pitchers since last season is 393.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
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