The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-150) on Saturday, March 23, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 6-9 ATS.
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +125 |
| Reds | -150 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games at home (+10.93 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 12-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 23.98% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 49.74% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -5.07% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -4.52% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 6-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -28.89% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -19.14% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -6.04% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -5.36% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill located 67% of his pitches away (602/900) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 15% (19/128) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 13% (58/444) in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 55% (335/611) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (82 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Frankie Montas’ highest spin rate on fastballs since the 2021 season is 2659.0 RPM — 8th fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 2974.6
Frankie Montas has averaged 96.1 MPH on fastballs since the 2021 season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 90th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has averaged 88.5 MPH on sliders since the 2021 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 48-38 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 40-46 (.465) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 17-24 (.415) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 44% in righty-righty matchups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored first at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds hitters had a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers walked 613 of 6,310 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Reds pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, Out
- Jonathan India (Cincinnati Reds): Foot, Day-To-Day
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Oblique, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Lower Leg, Day-To-Day
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, Day-To-Day
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Abdomen, Out
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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