- The Royals are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Royals vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Angels TV Channel: FS1 | BSKC | BSW
The Kansas City Royals (-120) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+100) on Thursday, May 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Royals are 22-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 18-19 ATS.
Royals vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-4, 5.55 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 3-3, 4.24 ERA
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
Angels | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+17.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+18.90 Units / 189% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 24-14 against the Run Line (+7.14 Units / 13.28% ROI).
- 22-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 17.93% ROI
- 13-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -27.35% ROI
- 22-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 19.36% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 18-19 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -17.16% ROI).
- 14-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -18.43% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 2.92% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -11.9% ROI
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Reid Detmers (LAA) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .382 (21-for-55) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of .426 (61 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .382 (21-for-55) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (15/59) against Michael Wacha this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
5 of Reid Detmers’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (28/64) against Reid Detmers when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
87% of Reid Detmers’ fastball strikeouts are elevatedthis season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (18/106) against Reid Detmers this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 19-14 (.576) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Royals are just 19-45 (.297) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 60-29 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Angels are just 13-153 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Angels are just 134-20 (.870) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Angels are just 70-13 (.843) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .232 (327 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,042 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .631 (1,042 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .308 (3,609 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have won just 46% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 188 of 1,760 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 310 of 3,200 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 38 of 326 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 138 of 1,388 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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